Big investors turn to off-exchange prediction markets
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Millions of OTC event contracts are being traded monthly, with individual deals as big as $10 million
An over-the-counter market for event contracts is emerging in the shadow of retail-focused prediction exchanges such as Kalshi and Polymarket, allowing institutional investors to execute multimillion-dollar trades bilaterally.
The OTC prediction market allows institutions to place large trades away from exchanges, with some transactions even referencing listed event contracts. The deals are
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