June CPI expected to ease as energy prices pull inflation lower

Economists at Scotiabank, RBC, and TD Economics have all indicated the central bank is in monitoring mode, seeking clarity on key risks before moving. 

RBC Economics said its base case assumes inflation will gradually return toward the 2% target over the forecast horizon, with the central bank remaining on hold through 2026.

The BoC is next scheduled to meet on September 2, and will have both June and July inflation data in hand before that decision. 

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