Copper touches record high, focus on tight supplies outside US

Copper prices hit ​a record high on Monday as ​the prospect of shortages outside the U.S. spurred buying, while ​the softer dollar reinforced positive sentiment.

Traders said a U.S. holiday meant volumes were likely to be muted, and that focus was on copper and zinc.

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange touched a ‌record high ⁠of $14,533 a ⁠metric ton, surpassing an all-time peak of $14,527.50 hit in January, before paring gains slightly to $14,518 by 1515 ​GMT, up 0.7%.

Traders and producers have been shipping large amounts of copper to the U.S. since President Donald Trump mooted import tariffs in February last year. Comex copper stocks stand at a record 766,795 short tons or 695,624 metric tons.

“It’s hard to ​know what will happen on tariffs, but the longer ⁠there is ‌uncertainty, the longer prices will remain elevated as material flows ​to the U.S.,” ​said Albert Mackenzie, an analyst at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence.


Elevated premiums ⁠or backwardations for nearby contracts against longer-dated forwards have attracted ​some copper back to the LME.
But cancelled warrants, or metal ​earmarked for delivery, at 51% indicate more than 121,000 tons of copper is likely to leave the LME system over the next few weeks.The premium for cash over the three-month forward climbed above $430 a ton in the middle of August, the highest since 2021. It closed around $74 on Friday.

Another sign of tight supplies ‌outside the U.S. is stocks in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange at 63,000 tons, down 85% since the middle of March ​and at ​their lowest since January 2024.

Copper ⁠prices on the SHFE are also in backwardation , suggesting the industry in top consumer China is concerned about supplies.

Elsewhere, zinc gained 1.1% to $3,988 a ton, supported by ​tight supplies, after hitting its highest since May 2022 at $3,998.

A softer U.S. currency, which makes dollar-priced metals cheaper for holders of other currencies, supported base metals overall.

Aluminium rose 0.7% to $3,315 a ton and tin added 0.4% to $55,100, while nickel slipped 0.7% to $16,725 and lead dipped 0.3% to $1,903.

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