The rate gap that’s keeping potential buyers out of the market
Amir Nurani, broker-owner at Left Coast Leaders in California, told Mortgage Professional America in April that the current environment represents normalcy, not an aberration.
“I think the current rate environment where we’re in the high-5s or low-6s, those are normalized rates for conventional mortgages,” Nurani said.
“Those are not high rates. We’re going to be in that environment for a while. I would not put a lot of stock into the fact that rates are all of a sudden going to plummet for some magical reason tomorrow.”
That view aligns with current forecaster consensus. The Mortgage Bankers Association projects the 30-year fixed will remain in the 6.1%–6.3% range through the end of 2026.
For buyers on the sidelines, MPA’s earlier analysis of why brokers and homebuyers must stop waiting for a rate drop laid out the practical alternatives — among them buying discount points at closing to reduce the interest rate for the life of the loan, or accessing down payment assistance to reduce upfront costs.